沈阳国内好的成人英语辅导班，市面上的英语辅导机构有很多，但在师资力量课程安排上会有所差异，小编在这里为您推荐沈阳环球雅思培训学校，是中国留学语言培训行业机构之一,20年来,秉持教育成就未来的理念,专注于为中国学子提供优质的留学语言培训及配套服务.现在预约即可享受0元试听课程，欢迎在线咨询！接下来环球雅思的小编为您分享，雅思课外阅读--没有过去的人2

To understand why this matters,consider the findings from social science about‘recency bias’,which describes the tendency to assume that future events will closely resemble recent experience.It’s a version of what is also known as the availability heuristic:the tendency to base your thinking disproportionately on whatever comes most easily to mind.It’s also a universal psychological attribute.If the last few years have seen exceptionally cold summers where you live,for example,you might be tempted to state that summers are getting colder–or that your local climate may be cooling.In fact,you shouldn’t read anything whatsoever into the data.You would need to take a far,far longer view to learn anything meaningful about climate trends.In the short term,you’d be best not speculating at all–but who among us can manage that?

为了理解这个问题的重要性，需要考虑社会科学中有关“近因偏差”(recencybias，又称近因效应)的研究发现。近因偏差是指：人们在判断事物发展趋势时，会认为未来事件将会和近期体验高度类似。这可以说是某种“可利用性法则”(availability heuristic)——不恰当地以较容易认知的信息来作为思考的基础。这还是一种普遍的心理学特征。举例来说，如果在你居住的地方，过去几年的夏季气温都很低，那么你可能会认为夏季气候正在变得更冷——或者说你当地的气候正在变冷。但是，你不应该只根据少量数据分析长期趋势。你需要采取长远视角，才能认识真正有意义的气候趋势。短期内，较好不进行任何猜测。不过，我们之中又有谁能真正做到这点呢?

【大作文万用句式】

To understand why this matters,consider…为了理解这个问题的重要性，需要考虑……

…–but who among us can manage that?……不过，我们之中又有谁能真正做到这点呢?

【经典句式】

the findings from………的发现

social science社会科学

tendency趋势

assume假设

future event未来事件

closely resemble近似

version版本

base…on…把……基于……之上

disproportionately不成比例地;过度偏重地

whatever comes most easily to mind较容易认知的信息

universal普遍的;统一的

psychological attribute心理特征

年代/地点see…见证

exceptionally极其地;卓越的

tempt诱导;吸引

read into sth曲解;牵强附会

take a far,far longer view采取长远视角

climate trend气候趋势

in the short term短期内

speculate猜测

The same tends to be true of most complex phenomena in real life:stock markets,economies,the success or failure of companies,war and peace,relationships,the rise and fall of empires.Short-term analyses aren’t only invalid–they’re actively unhelpful and misleading.Just look at the legions of economists who lined up to pronounce events like the 2009 financial crisis unthinkable right until it happened.The very notion that valid predictions could be made on that kind of scale was itself part of the problem.

现实生活中大部分复杂事物的现象也是如此：股票市场、经济发展、企业的成功与失败、战争与和平、恋爱、帝国的崛起和衰落等等。短期分析不仅不正确、毫无益处，还会产生误导。只要看看这个例子就能知道这一点：就在2009年金融危机袭来的时候，还有那么多经济学家信誓旦旦地宣称这一事件不会发生。认为根据那种短期时间尺度的数据就能做出正确的预测，这种想法本身就有很大的问题。

尊重原创文章，转载请注明出处与链接：http://www.soxsok.com/wnews568363.html 违者必究！ 以上就是关于“沈阳国内好的成人英语辅导班”的全部内容了，想了解更多相关知识请持续关注本站。